Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.1%
Lens
12.5%
Draw
5.4%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
2.59
Lens
vs
0.51
Clermont
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.1%
3-0
13.0%
1-0
11.8%
4-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
1-1
5.8%
5-0
4.4%
0-0
4.3%
4-1
4.3%
0-1
2.5%
5-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).