Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Vitória Guimarães
26.0%
Draw
21.3%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Vitória Guimarães
vs
0.96
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).