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DHT: 00CSV

21 Apr 2019

Bochum

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.1%
Darmstadt
27.5%
Draw
27.4%
Bochum

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Darmstadt

vs
1.16

Bochum

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).