Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.5%
Watford
27.1%
Draw
48.3%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Watford
vs
1.58
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.9%
0-0
8.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).