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DHT: 10CSV

21 Dec 2019 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.9%
Hannover
28.0%
Draw
23.1%
Stuttgart

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Hannover

vs
0.98

Stuttgart

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).