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17 Apr 2022 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.9%
Malmö FF
30.1%
Draw
28.9%
Panathinaikos

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Malmö FF

vs
1.08

Panathinaikos

Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).