Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.6%
Oxford
14.9%
Draw
10.5%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Oxford
vs
0.76
Accrington
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
1-0
10.7%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.0%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
0-1
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
0-0
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).