Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.1%
Aldershot
14.7%
Draw
75.2%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Aldershot
vs
2.96
Notts County
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.576.6%
Over 3.557.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
0-2
7.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-1
6.1%
1-4
6.1%
0-4
5.7%
0-1
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
2-3
4.4%
1-5
3.6%
0-5
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).