Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Bournemouth
28.0%
Draw
20.2%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Bournemouth
vs
0.84
Brentford
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
10.9%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).