Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Crotone
26.8%
Draw
51.0%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Crotone
vs
1.65
Parma
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).