Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Lille
22.1%
Draw
24.8%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Lille
vs
1.13
Nice
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).