⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 10CSV

27 Aug 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
29.4%
Karagumruk
33.8%
Draw
36.7%
Ankaragucu

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Karagumruk

vs
1.29

Ankaragucu

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.2%
0-0
12.0%
1-2
8.4%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).