Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Nantes
22.9%
Draw
27.7%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Nantes
vs
1.25
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).