Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.2%
Saint-Étienne
17.1%
Draw
63.7%
Monaco
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Saint-Étienne
vs
2.54
Monaco
Markets
BTTS67.8%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.574.5%
Over 3.554.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.9%
1-3
7.5%
1-1
6.6%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
0-3
5.6%
0-1
5.6%
2-3
5.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
0-4
3.6%
2-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).