Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Bastia
29.7%
Draw
24.8%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Bastia
vs
0.72
Niort
Markets
BTTS33.2%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.553.3%
Over 2.527.5%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.9%
0-0
15.2%
0-1
12.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).