Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.8%
Perugia
30.4%
Draw
27.8%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Perugia
vs
1.02
Livorno
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).