Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.1%
Oldham
32.4%
Draw
44.6%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Oldham
vs
1.19
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
0-0
15.0%
1-1
14.0%
0-2
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.0%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).