Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Grays Athletic
29.9%
Draw
25.9%
Hitchin Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Grays Athletic
vs
0.80
Hitchin Town
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).