Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Waltham Abbey
18.6%
Draw
31.2%
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
Waltham Abbey
vs
1.98
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
Markets
BTTS79.0%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.593.7%
Over 2.582.5%
Over 3.565.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
3-2
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-3
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
4-2
3.6%
2-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).