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13 Dec 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.5%
Grenoble
26.1%
Draw
44.5%
Montpellier

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Grenoble

vs
1.28

Montpellier

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).