Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Red Star
26.2%
Draw
33.1%
Sochaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Red Star
vs
1.07
Sochaux
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).