Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Eibar
30.2%
Draw
29.8%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Eibar
vs
0.91
Malaga
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).