Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.1%
Norrköping
24.2%
Draw
55.7%
Malmö FF
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Norrköping
vs
1.93
Malmö FF
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.1%
0-1
8.3%
1-3
6.4%
0-0
6.0%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).