Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.2%
Regensburg
27.3%
Draw
53.4%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Regensburg
vs
1.60
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.4%
0-2
10.8%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.2%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).