Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.6%
Chesterfield
19.4%
Draw
16.0%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Chesterfield
vs
1.16
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS63.3%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.548.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
6.6%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
4-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-0
4.0%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).