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18 Apr 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.6%
Middlesbrough
20.2%
Draw
11.3%
Huddersfield

Expected Goals (xG)

2.16

Middlesbrough

vs
0.77

Huddersfield

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.0%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
0-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).