Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
AFC Wimbledon
26.4%
Draw
29.2%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.96
Wigan
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).