Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Elche
23.3%
Draw
23.7%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Elche
vs
1.09
Almeria
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).