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AHT: 01

31 Aug 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.5%
Värnamo
22.8%
Draw
58.7%
Panathinaikos

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Värnamo

vs
2.08

Panathinaikos

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
0-0
5.2%
2-3
3.8%
1-4
3.6%
1-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).