Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Barrow
24.1%
Draw
37.3%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Barrow
vs
1.41
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-0
8.8%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
0-0
5.4%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).