Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Mallorca
28.5%
Draw
17.9%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Mallorca
vs
0.63
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS34.1%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.531.0%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.9%
0-0
14.1%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).