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15 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.5%
Swansea
25.6%
Draw
18.0%
Huddersfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

Swansea

vs
0.88

Huddersfield

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).