Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Santander
19.6%
Draw
21.6%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Santander
vs
1.32
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS65.6%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.569.5%
Over 3.548.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-1
4.0%
0-1
3.7%
4-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).