Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.1%
Man United
13.0%
Draw
4.9%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Man United
vs
0.65
Southampton
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.547.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-0
4.9%
0-0
3.7%
5-1
3.2%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).