Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Akhmat Grozny
33.0%
Draw
23.1%
Rostov
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Akhmat Grozny
vs
0.80
Rostov
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.9%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
14.5%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).