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12 Nov 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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87.5%
Inter
8.7%
Draw
3.9%
Frosinone

Expected Goals (xG)

3.23

Inter

vs
0.59

Frosinone

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.573.5%
Over 3.553.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
12.3%
2-0
11.4%
4-0
10.0%
3-1
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
5-0
6.4%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
4.1%
5-1
3.8%
3-2
2.1%
0-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).