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DHT: 01CSV

03 Dec 2019 · 20:05

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.6%
Chateauroux
25.5%
Draw
47.9%
Sochaux

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Chateauroux

vs
1.36

Sochaux

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.8%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
4.0%
2-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).