Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.5%
AVS
24.8%
Draw
52.7%
Arouca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
AVS
vs
1.80
Arouca
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
6.3%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).