Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Harrogate
25.1%
Draw
44.4%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Harrogate
vs
1.44
Sutton
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).