Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Nice
23.4%
Draw
39.1%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Nice
vs
1.48
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
0-0
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).