Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Elversberg
24.3%
Draw
35.1%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Elversberg
vs
1.65
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS68.1%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
7.0%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
1-0
4.8%
0-1
4.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).