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17 Dec 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.9%
Albacete
27.4%
Draw
44.7%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Albacete

vs
1.34

Levante

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.2%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).