Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.7%
Middlesbrough
15.5%
Draw
5.8%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Middlesbrough
vs
0.53
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS37.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.4%
3-0
12.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
7.5%
1-1
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-0
3.6%
0-1
2.3%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).