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DHT: 10CSV

05 Oct 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.2%
Hatayspor
17.8%
Draw
68.0%
Trabzonspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Hatayspor

vs
3.00

Trabzonspor

Markets

BTTS73.5%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.594.8%
Over 2.581.8%
Over 3.564.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
7.7%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
6.4%
1-4
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
2-3
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
0-3
5.4%
2-4
4.1%
0-4
4.0%
2-1
3.7%
1-5
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).