Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Avellino
28.3%
Draw
33.4%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Avellino
vs
1.29
Empoli
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).