Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Nott'm Forest
28.9%
Draw
42.6%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Nott'm Forest
vs
1.50
Man United
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).