Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.2%
Scunthorpe
18.8%
Draw
71.9%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51
Scunthorpe
vs
1.94
Northampton
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.1%
0-2
16.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-1
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).