Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
Union Berlin
26.9%
Draw
20.9%
Club Brugge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Union Berlin
vs
0.86
Club Brugge
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).