Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Cultural Leonesa
27.4%
Draw
38.1%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Cultural Leonesa
vs
1.24
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).