⚽ FootballData
1 – 3
AHT: 11

15 May 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
19.4%
Djurgården
31.0%
Draw
49.6%
Mjällby

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

Djurgården

vs
1.34

Mjällby

Markets

BTTS39.9%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.4%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
8.0%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-0
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).